In September, Gen. David Petraeus's mission on Capitol Hill was offensive.
He had to roll back the advance of congressional Democrats who were gathering the political momentum to stop President George W. Bush's surge of U.S. troops in Iraq. Before the summer recess, Senate Democrats were peeling off nervous Republicans for a measure sponsored by Sen. Jim Webb (D-Va.) to harmonize the amount of time soldiers spent at home with their time deployed. Because of the obscure, complex math guiding Iraq deployments, Webb's innocuous-sounding measure would have killed the surge dead.
By the time Petraeus testified on Sept. 11, 2007, the Democrats were three GOP defections away from a veto-proof majority. Thanks to Petraeus's bravura performance seven months ago, it never became law.
But now that the surge has died of natural causes, Petraeus' goal on Capitol Hill this week was as hazy as the mission of the Iraq war itself. In the short-term, Petraeus argued that when all the surge brigades return home in July, Congress should allow him a 45-day "pause" to assess the situation before even considering further troop reductions. Beyond that, however, Petraeus demonstrated little inclination to describe how his strategy for actually fighting the war will change once he no longer has roughly 30,000 extra troops at his disposal. Nor were four congressional committees particularly interested in the answer to that question.
Accordingly, Petraeus' approach to Congress was defensive. He needed to convince Congress that the prime consideration for troop withdrawals should be the "conditions" on the ground to stave off the political restiveness in the U.S. for rapid cuts.
But there he ran into difficulty. Asked on Wednesday by Rep. Silvestre Reyes (D-Tex.) if he would ever recommend "reinstat[ing] the surge" -- that is, requesting a renewed augmentation of U.S. forces in Iraq -- Petraeus all but rejected the possibility out of hand. That makes little sense in terms of consistency: if the real consideration ought to be conditions on the ground, why wouldn't those conditions ever merit a re-surge?
Part of staving off the anti-war tide involved convincing members of Congress that the sacrifices entailed in an open-ended Iraq presence are worth the cost. And therein lay two problems. First, the security successes that Petraeus presented are, politically, a mixed blessing. After all, if the surge has worked so well, why not pull up stakes and go home? Petraeus's response was to emphasize the "fragility" of the security situation. But that made the security gains Petraeus championed appear illusory -- and damaging to Petraeus's credibility.
"It clearly is in our national interest to help Iraq prevent the resurgence of Al Qaeda in the heart of the Arab world," he argued. But in response to questioning from Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the about-to-be GOP nominee for president, Petraeus said that Al Qaeda was significantly weaker than it was pre-surge.
It was an awkward moment: the two men represent the best political hopes for the war to continue. Yet McCain was trying to get Petraeus to say that Al Qaeda in Iraq remained a powerful foe, and Petraeus, sensitive to the implication that his strategy might not have been a smashing success, was trying to say that it had been badly beaten. (Just not too badly to claim victory.) If ever there was an example of the strategic fog of the pro-war crowd, it was that exchange.
The second problem was that the war is only getting less popular -- and is a massive albatross around the political necks of the Republican Party. Rep. Don Payne (D-N.J.) warned Petraeus that his recommendations are well and good, but the public will render the decisive judgment on the war come Election Day.
Yet Petraeus defied expectations in one sense. He did not exhibit much deference to his potential Democratic bosses. At times, he appeared downright dismissive of the idea that anti-war forces might have a point. He repeatedly said that dire consequences would follow a precipitous withdrawal, but declined to answer a question from House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Howard Berman (D- Calif.) how he would mitigate those consequences if ordered to implement a withdrawal.
When asked by Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.) -- a decided moderate in both outlook and temperament -- if reasonable people could disagree about the way forward in Iraq, Petraeus replied, "Lots of things in life are arguable." He sounded more like Donald Rumsfeld than the officer who has become a national hero.
More substantively, Petraeus twice refused to say that he would be prepared to either design or execute a plan for withdrawal should a new (read: Democratic) president order one. Aware that what he was saying edged up to the line of insubordination, he added, "Let me state up front that I absolutely support the idea of civilian control of the military. We do not work for ourselves." Yet he did not say either that he would resign on principle if asked to implement a strategy he did not support, or that he would ultimately salute and follow orders.
Petraeus may not have to worry. He has not said if he will seek a new term as Iraq commander after his tour ends this fall. Given the possibility of an Iraq dove winning the presidential election, he may very well decide to execute a withdrawal of his own.
Whether he held the line against the Congress is one thing. But not even a popular, respected and impressive general would be able to thwart the wishes of an anti-war electoral majority. A wise one would not attempt to do so.
Comments:
Posted 04/10/2008 12:28am with
The craziness is that we have a general running foreign policy. Bush of course is too childish to take responsibility for the war, and Congress, for a million bad reasons, can’t or won’t step up. So, everybody looks to the man in uniform. Civilians, not military officers, should decide when we end this miserable war, but no civilians save the public have the courage to say it should end now. One can almost feel sorry for Petraeus; he seems almost to want someone to tell him how his war fits into some larger plan, to let him know what the goal is. But since there’s never been any point, no one will. Maybe he’ll be left to twist slowly in the wind. But, he’s so nakedly ambitious, it’s hard to have any sympathy for him.
Posted 04/10/2008 02:19pm with
There are quite a few questions that our timid Congressmembers didn’t think needed answers, such as the one brought up in this story: “Petraeus’ promise to Big Oil”, UPI Outside View, April 8 2008:
“Speaking at a news conference in Iraq with Vice President Dick Cheney on March 17, Petraeus said Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki had asked him to call “large Western corporations” to get them to invest in Iraq’s oil, according to United Press International. . .”
“We have made a few initial inquiries on (Iraq’s) behalf,” Petraeus’ military spokesman said in a coyly disingenuous statement, refusing to tell UPI the companies the general had contacted. “Rest assured,” he said, “it would be companies that have the capability and reach to take on projects of the size and scope that Iraq needs to continue to progress forward.”
The author, Nick Mottern, concludes that:
“The general needs to be asked which companies he talked to and what military information he may have imparted when he made these extraordinary calls, which may well violate military regulations. . .”
“Petraeus also needs to be asked whether his apparent security assurances to the oil majors had anything to do with the disastrous attempt by Maliki’s troops starting in late March to try to get control of the oil center of Basra in southern Iraq. This military fiasco and human-rights atrocity was launched only a few days after Cheney “held one-on-one meetings with Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish leaders in Iraq to speed passage of a law opening Iraq’s enormous petroleum reserves to more efficient production by global oil companies,” according to the Wall Street Journal. “
http://www.upi.com/International_Security/Energy/Analysis…
Hey! Whatever happened to those Cheney Energy Task Force hearings, anyway?
Posted 04/11/2008 12:33pm with
“”Petraeus also needs to be asked whether his apparent security assurances to the oil majors…”
Sounds like the good general, working in tandem with Cheney, is preparing his own golden parachute. Ah, the beauty of high level government work…